Easy Ryder: Bruins keep rolling with win over Thrashers

Hockey Betting Lines

12/28/2008 - Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Ryder scored the game-winning goal with 6:04 to play as the Boston Bruins continued their tear through the NHL with a 2-1 win over the Atlanta Thrashers at Philips Arena.

Phil Kessel scored the other goal while Manny Fernandez stopped 32 shots for the Bruins, who have won eight straight and 13 of 14 overall.

Boston, which has an eight-game winning streak for the first time in almost 16 years, is now 27-5-4 on the season and has a comfortable lead for first place overall in the Eastern Conference. Also, the team is tied with San Jose for most overall points in the league.

Atlanta, on the other hand, fell to 12-20-4 on the season and are just two points ahead of the New York Islanders for last place in the NHL.

Bryan Little scored the lone goal while Kari Lehtonen made 26 saves in the loss for the Thrashers, who have dropped three of four.

The score had been tied since early in the second period, but the Bruins went ahead when David Krejci let fly with a pass from the left boards to the low right side where Ryder, flying to the net, laid out his stick and redirected it past Lehtonen.

The Thrashers spent the final 1:57 of the game on the power play and pulled Lehtonen for a 6-on-4 opportunity.

Little found himself wide open in front of the net for a rebound chance, but Fernandez laid his glove on the ice and stopped the stuffer with 38.9 seconds to play.

Atlanta got the only goal of the first period and did so with just 15 ticks left on the clock as Little's pass from the left boards deflected off a Bruin in front of the net and got past Fernandez.

Lehtonen was busy in the first frame and turned aside all 14 shots he faced to keep Boston off the board.

The Bruins got on the board just 1:43 into the second period as Kessel found himself all alone in the slot with the puck and snapped a wrister past the glove of Lehtonen for his 22nd goal of the season.

Fernandez stopped all 11 shots he saw in the second period.

Game Notes

Atlanta plays in Toronto on Tuesday...Boston wraps up its five-game road trip in Pittsburgh on Tuesday...Boston has won six straight against Atlanta, including all four games in this season's series...Little has six goals in his last three games...The last time Boston had an eight-game winning streak was an eight-game run from March 30-April 14, 1993...Boston has won five straight as the visitors.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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